'high-end gaming PCs will still have dedicated GPU chips somewhere in them in 2020, and that those chips will cost at least $200 for top-of-the-range and at least $100 for mid range' —Roko

Created by gwern on 2010-12-10; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2020-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 20% on 2010-12-10
  • gwern said “compare shane legg’s prediction of graphics card collapse: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/1986on 2010-12-10
  • gwern said “source: http://www.vetta.org/2009/12/the-teenies/comment-page-1/#comment-20300on 2010-12-10
  • gwern said “I’m skeptical. art costs (and video game dev costs) are astronomical already and many people seem very happy with their crappy cellphone gameson 2010-12-10
  • kallman estimated 40% and said “keep in mind, this lists “High-end” – so this isn’t average consumer, this is PC as main system gamer.on 2010-12-20
  • kallman said “Still voting against though since computer resources tend towards cheaper :Pon 2010-12-20
  • themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2016-10-06
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2020-01-01.

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