HP MoR: The Philosopher's Stone is an Horcrux.
Created by Kurosymph on 2013-07-02; known on 2014-01-16; judged wrong by player_03 on 2015-03-16.
- Kurosymph estimated 70% on 2013-07-02
- JoshuaZ estimated 5% on 2013-07-02
- lavalamp estimated 2% on 2013-07-02
- gwern estimated 5% and said “I don’t see it. how did Voldemort ever get to it? getting to it, why would he let it go? if he succeeded, why would Dumbledore or Flamel have not destroyed it?” on 2013-07-03
- Kurosymph changed the deadline from “on 2014-01-16” and changed their prediction from “[HPMOR] The Philosopher's Stone is an Horcrux.” on 2013-07-03
- ShIxtan estimated 1% on 2013-07-03
- Benja estimated 5% and said “Seems too random.” on 2013-07-06
- player_03 estimated 5% on 2014-04-26
- player_03 judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-16.