HP MoR: Snape kills Dumbledore

Created by Flailingjunk on 2013-07-06; known on 2015-01-02; judged wrong by ygert on 2015-03-23.

  • Flailingjunk estimated 25% on 2013-07-06
  • Flailingjunk changed the deadline from “on 2013-01-01on 2013-07-06
  • Flailingjunk estimated 35% on 2013-07-08
  • ygert estimated 20% on 2013-07-08
  • lavalamp estimated 15% on 2013-07-09
  • holycow81 estimated 19% on 2013-07-09
  • gwern estimated 30% and said “it certainly is plausible & consistent with canon & lots of death flags, but many other possibilities: Harry, Draco, Lucius, Quirrel…on 2013-07-13
  • Flailingjunk changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-02” and changed their prediction from “HP MoR: Snape kills Dumbledore” on 2013-07-13
  • Gurkenglas estimated 30% on 2013-07-14
  • Sarokrae estimated 30% on 2013-07-14
  • Cakoluchiam estimated 15% and said “Assuming this discounts any events after Harry’s first year in Hogwarts.on 2013-07-18
  • azax1 estimated 5% on 2013-07-19
  • nigr estimated 10% and said “whyon 2013-08-15
  • jbluphin estimated 40% on 2013-08-15
  • JayDee estimated 20% on 2013-08-21
  • moridinamael estimated 25% on 2015-01-07
  • ygert  judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-23.

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction