'Google will buy Twitter' in 2011 —Chris O'Brien

Created by gwern on 2010-12-26; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2012-01-01.

• gwern estimated 30% on 2010-12-26
• gwern said “http://www.mercurynews.com/business/ci_16930409” on 2010-12-26
• gwern said “failed by-2010 prediction: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/70 nor bought in 2010” on 2010-12-26
• gwern said “people’ve been saying this for a long time now, still hasn’t happened” on 2010-12-26
• kallman estimated 20% and said “Google already pseudo competes with Blogger and Buzz, right?” on 2010-12-30
• Larks estimated 33% on 2011-01-01
• Nic_Smith estimated 35% on 2011-01-04
• quanticle   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-01-04.
• quanticle   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-01-04.
• quanticle   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-01-04.
• quanticle   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-01-04.
• quanticle estimated 35% and said “I think Google’s acquisition spree is cooling.” on 2011-01-04
• luminosity estimated 20% on 2011-01-13
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-01-21.
• PseudonymousUser said “they would have already bought it by now” on 2011-01-21
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-01-21.
• PseudonymousUser estimated 20% on 2011-01-21
• Nic_Smith estimated 5% and said “The Google Plus launch strongly hints against this.” on 2011-07-16
• Ken estimated 3% on 2011-09-12
• PseudonymousUser estimated 3% on 2011-11-28
• Anubhav estimated 2% on 2011-11-28
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-01.