'Apple launches its long-awaited music streaming service' in 2011 —Chris O'Brien

Created by gwern on 2010-12-26; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2012-01-10.

• gwern estimated 30% on 2010-12-26
• gwern estimated 0% and said “http://www.mercurynews.com/business/ci_16930409” on 2010-12-26
• gwern estimated 30% and said “seems like too quick a timeframe for Apple; they need it to scale like crazy as every hipster begins streaming 8 hours a day.” on 2010-12-26
• kallman estimated 35% and said “Could be the next big reveal, but dunno. Thinking still more phone development first?” on 2010-12-30
• PseudonymousUser said “Does iCloud + iTunes Match count?” on 2012-01-06
• gwern said “not in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Streaming_media https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Streaming_media_systems https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Internet_radio https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comparison_of_streaming_media_systems” on 2012-01-10
• gwern said “http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/apple/8962253/iTunes-Match-five-things-you-need-to-know.html specifically says “4. It’s a download service, not a streaming service” ” on 2012-01-10
• gwern said “http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,2817,2398025,00.asp compares to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amazon_MP3#Amazon_Cloud_Drive which is not streaming. so I think we can call this a ‘no’” on 2012-01-10
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-10.