'Facebook growth slows, they hit 650M users by 4th quarter of 2011' —Brian Breslin
Created by gwern on 2010-12-29; known on 2011-07-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-07-01.
- gwern estimated 40% on 2010-12-29
- gwern said “http://brianbreslin.com/2011-predictions/” on 2010-12-29
- gwern said “specific date = 1st day of fourth quarter in USA” on 2010-12-29
- gwern said “hard to say; 2 separate sources say mid-600s or 700s. think I will mark this as wrong: they are past 650” on 2011-07-01
- gwern said “http://www.socialbakers.com/blog/171-facebook-is-globally-closing-in-to-700-million-users/” on 2011-07-01
- gwern said “http://techcrunch.com/2011/06/23/facebook-750-million-users/” on 2011-07-01
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2011-07-01.
- gwern said “http://brianbreslin.com/2011-predictions-recap/ seems to agree he was wrong” on 2012-01-08