More than 1000 known exoplanets by the end 2014

Created by mfb on 2013-07-08; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by mfb on 2013-10-23.

• mfb estimated 90% on 2013-07-08
• mfb said “(current number: 908)” on 2013-07-08
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% and said “Seems close to current growth rate, and Kepler data still being investigated, but lack of new Kepler data suggests we should expect a drop off in discovery rate now or very soon.” on 2013-07-08
• gwern estimated 50% on 2013-07-13
• mfb said “924 (63 in this year)Kepler has many candidates left to analyze.” on 2013-07-22
• mfb said “973 – 30 of them from http://arxiv.org/abs/1309.2329” on 2013-09-16
• mfb   judged this prediction right on 2013-10-23.
• mfb said “This was way faster than I expected. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-24549384” on 2013-10-23
• mfb said “I am amazed by Kepler… http://www.nasa.gov/ames/kepler/nasas-kepler-mission-announces-a-planet-bonanza/index.html” on 2014-03-10