'Apple’s Mac App Store does $1B in gross sales in first year' —Brian Breslin

Created by gwern on 2010-12-29; known on 2012-01-08

• gwern estimated 70% on 2010-12-29
• gwern said “Macs aren’t nearly as closed as cellphones but now the app stores have momentum” on 2010-12-29
• gwern said “http://brianbreslin.com/2011-predictions/” on 2010-12-29
• kallman estimated 60% and said “$1B is a pretty big number, mac share is somewhat limited, do we have figures of second year of iPhone store?” on 2010-12-30
• gwern said “App store is up and the clock is ticking: http://www.apple.com/mac/app-store/” on 2011-01-06
• gwern said “http://brianbreslin.com/2011-predictions-recap/ stands by the prediction but admits data will be hard to get…” on 2012-01-08
• gwern withdrew the prediction on 2012-08-28