'Apple gives away [Mac OS X] Lion for free or less than $30' —Brian Breslin

Created by gwern on 2010-12-29; known on 2011-07-01; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2011-06-11.

• gwern estimated 30% on 2010-12-29
• gwern said “cf. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mac_OS_X_Lion” on 2010-12-29
• gwern said “http://brianbreslin.com/2011-predictions/” on 2010-12-29
• gwern said “I disagree – Apple will charge the usual and Mac fans will be grateful!” on 2010-12-29
• kallman estimated 5% and said “When has anything apple ever been a deal? Especially components, sheesh.” on 2010-12-30
• PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2011-03-01
• Sandra Åhlén estimated 5% on 2011-03-23
• PseudonymousUser said “$29.99” on 2011-06-11
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction right on 2011-06-11.
• gwern said “http://brianbreslin.com/2011-predictions-recap/ agrees, was correct” on 2012-01-08