'Hillary Clinton will step down as Secretary of State' in 2011 —Capitol Commentary

Created by gwern on 2011-01-01; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2012-01-01.

• gwern estimated 15% on 2011-01-01
• gwern said “http://capitolcommentary.com/2011/01/01/capitol-commentary-2011-predictions/” on 2011-01-01
• gwern estimated 30% and said “and… do what with herself? start preparing for a 2012 run this early?” on 2011-01-01
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-01.