PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

Astronomers will detect a planet where alcohol is thought to rain from the sky.

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2013-07-12; known on 2023-01-01

  • NathanMcKnight estimated 75% on 2013-07-12
  • NathanMcKnight said “*Published in a peer reviewed journal. on 2013-07-12
  • JoshuaZ said “What makes this a plausible or located hypothesis? on 2013-07-12
  • tedks estimated 60% and said “Calibration arbitrageon 2013-07-12
  • gwern estimated 25% and said “there are a lot of biochemical processes involving alcohols, sure, but no natural geological ones…?on 2013-07-13
  • JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2013-07-13
  • NathanMcKnight said “Ethanol is not an uncommon chemical in the universe…it even occurs in the vacuum of space: http://phys.org/news63346824.htmlon 2013-07-16
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 45% on 2013-07-17
  • azax1 estimated 70% on 2013-07-19
  • pranomostro estimated 20% on 2018-12-08
  • Baeboo estimated 18% on 2018-12-12
  • n99 estimated 1% on 2022-10-28