Roberts/Scalia/Thomas/Alito will resign from the Supreme Court and be replaced by a more liberal justice in 2011 —Capitol Commentary
- gwern estimated 15% on 2011-01-01
- gwern said “oldest one is scalia at 72, who is in good shape and won’t resign during obama’s term, and the process takes a while.” on 2011-01-01
- gwern said “http://capitolcommentary.com/2011/01/01/capitol-commentary-2011-predictions/” on 2011-01-01
- JoshuaZ judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-01.
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