Within the next week there will be one or more riots attributed to the Zimmerman verdict by a mainstream news outlet.

Created by beo_shaffer on 2013-07-14; known on 2013-07-21; judged right by beo_shaffer on 2013-07-21.

• beo_shaffer estimated 15% on 2013-07-14
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 20% on 2013-07-14
• Peter Hurford estimated 10% on 2013-07-18
• gwern said “protests have been “mostly peaceful”. does that count? eg http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324348504578609233005128490.html” on 2013-07-19
• beo_shaffer said “@gwern It would be more straightforward if they used the word riot, but the events described are clearly a riot and attributed to the verdict so I’m going with yes.” on 2013-07-21
• beo_shaffer said “See also, http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-trayvon-zimmerman-verdict-protesters-storm-walmart-attack-tv-reporter-vandalize-20130716,0,3836135.story?page=2” on 2013-07-21
• beo_shaffer   judged this prediction right on 2013-07-21.