Ken Jennings will defeat Watson at Jeopardy!

Created by gwern on 2011-01-01; known on 2011-03-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-02-16.

• gwern estimated 80% on 2011-01-01
• gwern said “match airs feb 14-16: http://www.newsday.com/business/technology/jeopardy-to-pit-humans-against-ibm-machine-1.2541172” on 2011-01-01
• gwern said “see also http://www.reddit.com/r/reddit.com/comments/eu6jz/ok_reddit_lets_hear_your_predictions_for_2011/c1aylko” on 2011-01-01
• gwern said “jennings went down in flaming defeat” on 2011-02-16
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-02-16.