The GAO will not uphold Blue Origin's protest of the HLS bid.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2021-04-27; known on 2022-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2021-08-03.

• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2021-04-27
• JoshuaZ said “Date to be extended if GAO has not decided by then. ” on 2021-04-27
• JoshuaZ said “NYT article here https://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/26/science/spacex-moon-blue-origin.html . ” on 2021-04-27
• JoshuaZ said “Actual protest is here https://s3.amazonaws.com/images.spaceref.com/news/2021/BlueOriginProtest.pdf . ” on 2021-04-27
• JoshuaZ said “Also relevant to https://predictionbook.com/predictions/204159 . ” on 2021-04-27
• JoshuaZ estimated 74% and said “Updating based on https://www.gao.gov/assets/gao-21-281sp.pdf which has base rate upholding of protests at around 15%. ” on 2021-04-27
• stepan estimated 70% on 2021-04-30
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2021-08-03.