SpaceX Starship to land on moon by end of 2026.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2021-04-16; known on 2027-01-01; judged right by casey123 19 days ago.

  • JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2021-04-16
  • JoshuaZ said “Context is this Twitter thread . Bet with CommonSenseSkeptic. Loser donates $50 to charity of winner’s choice.on 2021-04-16
  • JoshuaZ estimated 54% and said “Based on details of reading the source selection document. on 2021-04-17
  • JoshuaZ said “(Note: CommonSenseSkeptic has apparently blocked me on Twitter now. I estimate a low probability of them donating if this occurs.)on 2021-04-18
  • JoshuaZ said “See for same claim about moon. on 2021-04-18
  • gallerdude estimated 40% 28 days ago
  • JoshuaZ said “Sorry, 203833 is same claim for Mars.26 days ago
  • JoshuaZ estimated 53% and said “Based on Blue protest22 days ago
  • casey123 estimated 65% 19 days ago
  • casey123 estimated 40% 19 days ago
  • casey123   judged this prediction right 19 days ago.
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction unknown 19 days ago.
  • JoshuaZ said “Please do not mark predictions right or wrong before they have happened. 19 days ago
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction unknown 18 days ago.
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction unknown 18 days ago.
  • JoshuaZ said “Gah. Since prediction was judged it no longer seems to be allowing updates. Will make a new copy.18 days ago
  • JoshuaZ said “Copied over to . 18 days ago
  • Jayson Virissimo   judged this prediction unknown 14 days ago.

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