No Facebook IPO in 2011 —Ben Parr

Created by gwern on 2011-01-01; known on 2012-01-01; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2012-01-03.

• gwern estimated 80% on 2011-01-01
• gwern said “http://mashable.com/2010/12/31/social-network-predictions/” on 2011-01-01
• Laurent Bossavit estimated 80% on 2011-09-07
• Laurent Bossavit estimated 99% on 2011-12-14
• PseudonymousUser estimated 100% on 2011-12-14
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction right on 2012-01-03.