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HP MoR: Harry had a hand in the disappearance of Hermione's corpse.

Created by ygert on 2013-07-18; known on 2015-06-23; judged right by Roxolan on 2015-03-01.

  • ygert estimated 97% on 2013-07-18
  • gwern estimated 90% on 2013-07-19
  • ygert changed the deadline from “on 2013-08-21” and changed their prediction from “HPMOR: Harry had a hand in the disappearance of Hermione's corpse.” on 2013-07-19
  • HonoreDB estimated 90% on 2013-07-19
  • azax1 estimated 70% on 2013-07-19
  • berekuk estimated 95% on 2013-07-20
  • holycow81 estimated 66% on 2013-07-21
  • RobertLumley estimated 95% on 2013-07-21
  • Sarokrae estimated 99% on 2013-07-22
  • DubiousTwizzler estimated 95% on 2013-07-22
  • Qiaochu estimated 98% on 2013-07-24
  • Gurkenglas estimated 96% on 2013-07-25
  • curtis95112 estimated 95% on 2013-07-25
  • linkhyrule5 estimated 95% on 2013-07-26
  • mjr estimated 90% on 2013-07-26
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 90% on 2013-07-29
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 85% on 2013-07-31
  • lavalamp estimated 92% and said “I doubt we’ll know in 21 days though.” on 2013-07-31
  • Osuniev estimated 80% on 2013-07-31
  • E. E. Smith estimated 94% on 2013-08-04
  • nigr estimated 10% and said “he could ask for freezing her body in the grave” on 2013-08-15
  • Flipnash estimated 78% on 2013-08-18
  • ygert changed the deadline from “on 2013-08-21” on 2013-08-18
  • JayDee estimated 90% on 2013-08-21
  • Osuniev estimated 95% on 2013-09-05
  • Roxolan estimated 90% on 2013-09-17
  • artyom.kazak estimated 20% on 2013-09-22
  • ygert changed the deadline from “on 2013-09-22” on 2013-10-14
  • Vulture estimated 75% on 2014-01-23
  • ciil estimated 90% on 2014-01-23
  • DEA7TH estimated 50% on 2014-02-28
  • DEA7TH estimated 30% and said “Forgot to adjust for the fact that they checked him and didn’t find it.” on 2014-02-28
  • player_03 estimated 85% on 2014-04-24
  • maniexx estimated 80% on 2014-06-15
  • player_03 estimated 65% and said “You know what, there just isn’t enough information to make this judgement so confidently. Sure it makes sense for Harry to do it, but that alone doesn’t rule out other possibilities.” on 2014-06-22
  • ygert changed the deadline from “on 2014-06-22” on 2014-06-28
  • Vulture estimated 90% on 2015-02-23
  • Roxolan   judged this prediction right on 2015-03-01.
  • Roxolan said “Confirmed in chapter 111.” on 2015-03-01