Obama's approval rating will be lower 1 Jan 2012 than 1 Jan 2011.

Created by gwern on 2011-01-02; known on 2012-01-10; judged right by gwern on 2012-01-10.

• gwern estimated 70% on 2011-01-02
• gwern said “judged by rasmussen 25% ’strongly approve http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll” on 2011-01-02
• gwern said “http://www.justsharethis.com/world-predictions-for-2011/” on 2011-01-02
• thezero   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-01-03.
• thezero   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-01-03.
• gimpf estimated 40% and said “Given the recent economic problems, and betting on an upturn now, I think his odds are not that bad.” on 2011-01-09
• Sandra Åhlén estimated 45% on 2011-07-14
• gwern said “currently at 22%, been <25% for most of 2011. marking right.” on 2012-01-10
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-01-10.