Apple will release the iPhone 5 and it will be available in white in 2011.

Created by gwern on 2011-01-02; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by faws on 2012-01-01.

• gwern estimated 90% on 2011-01-02
• gwern said “http://www.justsharethis.com/world-predictions-for-2011/” on 2011-01-02
• gimpf estimated 60% on 2011-01-09
• PseudonymousUser estimated 65% on 2011-01-21
• PseudonymousUser estimated 83% on 2011-06-11
• PseudonymousUser estimated 86% on 2011-08-21
• Laurent Bossavit estimated 65% on 2011-09-05
• Laurent Bossavit estimated 1% and said “No iPhone 5 coming this year, only a 4S.” on 2011-11-06
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2011-11-07
• gwern estimated 10% and said “little time left; better luck in 2012” on 2011-11-08
• gwern estimated 99% and said “hm on the other hand they wouldn’t overshadow the 4s” on 2011-11-08
• gwern estimated 1% on 2011-11-08
• faws   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-01.