Delicious will either not be sold or will not be as popular in 2011 as it was in 2010. —Seamus Condron

Created by gwern on 2011-01-02; known on 2012-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2012-01-01.

• gwern estimated 70% on 2011-01-02
• gwern said “http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/2011_staff_predictions.php” on 2011-01-02
• gwern said “a bit weaselly, perhaps, but I think between alexa traffic stats and # of new links submitted, we could judge any new home of delicious” on 2011-01-02
• gwern said “it was sold in April, but after a spike in January/February, traffic seemed to decline according to alexa : http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/delicious.com marking right” on 2012-01-01
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-01-01.