First Starship attempt to reach orbit or near orbit will either never reach supersonic speed or will break up before reaching Max Q.
Created by JoshuaZ on 2021-12-23; known on 2023-01-01
- JoshuaZ estimated 22% on 2021-12-23
- JoshuaZ said “Based on comment from https://old.reddit.com/r/TrueSpace/comments/rlhi99/this_sub_is_usually_has_the_best_good_faith/hpkvn5h/ . ” on 2021-12-23
- Jayson Virissimo estimated 25% and said “#spacex” on 2021-12-23
- azatris estimated 34% 28 days ago
- chemotaxis101 estimated 25% 27 days ago
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