AIDS vaccine by 2035 —Tachi Yamada

Created by gwern on 2011-01-03; known on 2035-01-01

• gwern estimated 60% on 2011-01-03
• gwern said “http://www.guardian.co.uk/society/2011/jan/02/25-predictions-25-years” on 2011-01-03
• JoshuaZ estimated 80% on 2011-01-03
• kallman estimated 45% and said “Maybe for certain cases. But for everyone? I doubt it. Complicated disease.” on 2011-01-04
• gimpf estimated 70% on 2011-01-09
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-07
• JoshuaZ estimated 44% on 2016-10-07
• regex estimated 70% on 2017-09-22
• pranomostro estimated 45% on 2019-01-08