There will be a university/college-affiliated study on polyphasic sleep that begins within a year.

Created by Malcolm Ocean on 2013-07-22; known on 2014-07-22; judged wrong by Malcolm Ocean on 2014-07-23.

• Malcolm Ocean estimated 33% on 2013-07-22
• gwern said “given the size of the filedrawer and how many studies get done but never reported, how would one ever know?” on 2013-07-24
• player_03 estimated 15% and said “Adjusting slightly to account for the possibility that we never find out.” on 2014-04-24
• Malcolm Ocean   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-07-23.