Politics, US – Will the US announce intent to allow any Ukrainian citizen who reach its borders to stay until Russia is no longer attacking or occupying Ukraine, before July 1st 2022?
Created by jbeshir on 2022-02-24; known on 2022-07-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2022-07-01.
- jbeshir estimated 8% on 2022-02-24
- jbeshir said “Inspired by but slightly distinct from: https://manifold.markets/DanielFilan/will-the-us-open-its-borders-to-ukr” on 2022-02-24
- Deepak estimated 5% on 2022-02-24
- Jayson Virissimo estimated 10% and said “#politics” on 2022-02-24
- EloiseRosen estimated 10% on 2022-03-01
- Baeboo estimated 12% on 2022-03-02
- PseudonymousUser estimated 20% and said “This doesn’t quite count, since its only for people already in the US https://www.axios.com/biden-dhs-tps-ukrainian-immigrants-refugees-b8685c3f-e5ce-48b0-b15f-2b400924b267.html” on 2022-03-04
- PseudonymousUser said “*it’s” on 2022-03-04
- Baeboo estimated 20% on 2022-03-04
- EniScien estimated 15% on 2022-06-22
- Baeboo estimated 7% on 2022-06-22
- jbeshir judged this prediction wrong on 2022-07-01.