US to deliver Poland's MiG fighter jets to Ukraine

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-03-08; known on 2023-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2023-01-29.

• PseudonymousUser estimated 30% on 2022-03-08
• PseudonymousUser said “https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.wsj.com/amp/articles/poland-to-make-mig-29-combat-jetsavailable-to-u-s-11646767232” on 2022-03-08
• PseudonymousUser said “Related: https://predictionbook.com/predictions/207283” on 2022-03-08
• two2thehead estimated 51% and said “I’m assuming the above linked prediction to be a superset of this prediction. ” on 2022-03-08
• Baeboo estimated 10% on 2022-03-09
• PseudonymousUser estimated 15% and said “Not looking good, but I won’t mark this as false before the deadline. https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.cnn.com/cnn/2022/03/08/politics/poland-jets-ukraine-russia/index.html” on 2022-03-09
• PseudonymousUser said “two2thehead: It’s disjoint. In this prediction, US has to deliver the MiG-29s provided by Poland, whereas in the other prediction Poland would deliver them and the US would give Poland F-16s to fill the gap. ” on 2022-03-09
• two2thehead said “ah. good to know” on 2022-03-09
• two2thehead estimated 30% on 2022-03-09
• PseudonymousUser said “Related: https://predictionbook.com/predictions/207331” on 2022-03-10
• JoshuaZ estimated 21% on 2022-03-10
• PseudonymousUser estimated 12% on 2022-03-10
• PseudonymousUser estimated 7% on 2022-04-03
• PseudonymousUser estimated 2% on 2022-04-26
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2023-01-29.