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HP MoR: Harry will learn the killing curse by the end of the year or Quirrell will be disappointed that Harry has not learned the killing curse by the end of the year.

Created by Cakoluchiam on 2013-07-24; known on 2014-05-15; judged wrong by Oscar_Cunningham on 2015-03-26.

  • Cakoluchiam estimated 70% on 2013-07-24
  • gwern estimated 40% and said “Quirrel has already said harry lacks the raw power for the curseon 2013-07-24
  • Cakoluchiam changed the deadline from “on 2014-05-15” and changed their prediction from “HPMoR: Harry will learn the killing curse by the end of the year or Quirrell will be disappointed that Harry has not learned the killing curse by the end of the year.” on 2013-07-24
  • TheOriginalSoni estimated 65% and said “Harry learning AK does not seem likely at all. He would be much more likely to use other creative methods, if required.on 2013-07-25
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 40% on 2013-07-29
  • nigr estimated 1% and said “too youngon 2013-08-15
  • Flipnash estimated 41% on 2013-08-18
  • Osuniev estimated 30% and said “too young, but something might increase his raw power somehow.on 2013-09-05
  • player_03 estimated 20% on 2014-04-24
  • qznc estimated 1% and said “Why would Harry require the killing curse? If he actually wants to fatally harm someone, he would be more creative.on 2014-07-14
  • Osuniev estimated 5% and said “Revised after chapter 102on 2014-08-02
  • Oscar_Cunningham   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-26.

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