'I am optimistic that the answer to the mass question will be found within a few years, whether or not it is the mythical Higgs boson' —John Ellis

Created by gwern on 2011-01-03; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2020-01-20.

• gwern estimated 5% on 2011-01-03
• gwern said “http://www.guardian.co.uk/society/2011/jan/02/25-predictions-25-years 10 years ought to be more than enough for any solution to become consensus” on 2011-01-03
• JoshuaZ estimated 10% on 2011-01-03
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro said “How would a physicist expand “mass question” into an actual question?” on 2019-01-08
• JoshuaZ said “Can we mark this as just wrong given that we’ve strongly confirmed the Higgs boson? ” on 2019-01-09
• JoshuaZ said “Any objections to marking this as wrong given finding of the Higgs boson? ” on 2020-01-01
• Bruno Parga said “Wait, doesn’t the finding of the Higgs boson make the prediction right? Doesn’t it answer ‘the mass question’?” on 2020-01-01
• JoshuaZ said “Bruno, good point. Marking correct.” on 2020-01-20
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2020-01-20.