We will not have a Singularity or intelligence explosion of the sort predicted by Yudkowsky in 'The Hanson-Yudkowsky AI-Foom Debate – LessWrong' by 2035

Created by johnmichaelbridge on 2022-06-22; known on 2035-01-01

• johnmichaelbridge estimated 90% on 2022-06-22
• Baeboo estimated 85% on 2022-06-22
• sty.silver estimated 10% on 2022-06-23
• sty.silver estimated 90% and said “RIP Brier Score” on 2022-06-24
• Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 60% on 2022-06-27
• niplav estimated 45% and said “Observer selection effects ftw!” on 2022-07-12
• Baeboo said “#singularity” on 2022-07-12
• Medea estimated 85% on 2022-09-08
• chemotaxis101 estimated 85% on 2022-10-02
• Reinersaltaccount estimated 99% and said “#AI” on 2023-02-03
• Reinersaltaccount said “#x-risks” on 2023-02-04

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