Will the slope for the linear regression between range and Brier score be non-negative for all resolved Metaculus binary questions?
Created by niplav on 2022-09-30; known on 2024-01-01
- niplav estimated 45% on 2022-09-30
- niplav said “Prediction on replicating results from https://niplav.github.io/range_and_forecasting_accuracy.html with full Metaculus data. Accuracy between forecasts. #metaculus” on 2022-09-30