Human extinction caused by AI before my 50th birthday.


Created by John Smith 23 days ago; known on 2043-10-10

  • John Smith estimated 75% 23 days ago
  • John Smith changed the deadline from “on 2053-10-1023 days ago
  • rlourie estimated 38% and said “I think things will probably be super weird by then (due to advanced AI), but I think there will still be at least some humans around (but I am not super confident).22 days ago
  • Medea estimated 0% and said “There is no way to resolve it to Right21 days ago
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 1% 21 days ago
  • estimated 0% and said “Human extinction is an incredibly high bar. The chance they find all the remote hermits, submarines, etc. is super unlikely even if AI turns as bad as it possibly could.15 days ago
  • Reinersaltaccount estimated 0% and said “#AI11 days ago

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