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Human extinction caused by AI before my 50th birthday.


Created by PseudonymousUser on 2023-02-28; known on 2043-10-10

  • PseudonymousUser estimated 75% on 2023-02-28
  • PseudonymousUser changed the deadline from “on 2053-10-10on 2023-02-28
  • rlourie estimated 38% and said “I think things will probably be super weird by then (due to advanced AI), but I think there will still be at least some humans around (but I am not super confident).on 2023-03-01
  • Medea estimated 0% and said “There is no way to resolve it to Righton 2023-03-01
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2023-03-02
  • estimated 0% and said “Human extinction is an incredibly high bar. The chance they find all the remote hermits, submarines, etc. is super unlikely even if AI turns as bad as it possibly could.on 2023-03-07
  • Reinersaltaccount estimated 0% and said “#AIon 2023-03-12