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The run on Silicon Valley Bank triggers a stock market crash, defined as the S&P 500 falling to 3,000 or less (~20% loss) during 2023

Created by sjy on 2023-03-13; known on 2024-01-01; judged wrong by sjy on 2024-01-02.

  • sjy estimated 40% on 2023-03-13
  • Reinersaltaccount estimated 17% and said “#financeon 2023-03-13
  • sjy   judged this prediction wrong on 2024-01-02.