'Despite media hysterics as to its imminent demise the current coalition of parties in government in Australia will remain in power. (70%)' —luminosity

Created by gwern on 2011-01-10; known on 2012-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2012-01-02.

• gwern estimated 70% on 2011-01-10
• gwern said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/3kz/new_years_predictions_thread_2011/39nt” on 2011-01-10
• gwern said “what coalition is in power, I find myself wondering” on 2011-01-10
• gwern said “labour party still in power as they have been since the 2010 federal election; marking right” on 2012-01-02
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-01-02.