'Despite media hysterics as to its imminent demise the current coalition of parties in government in Australia will remain in power. (70%)' —luminosity
- gwern estimated 70% on 2011-01-10
- gwern said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/3kz/new_years_predictions_thread_2011/39nt” on 2011-01-10
- gwern said “what coalition is in power, I find myself wondering” on 2011-01-10
- gwern said “labour party still in power as they have been since the 2010 federal election; marking right” on 2012-01-02
- gwern judged this prediction right on 2012-01-02.
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