A Nobel prize in Physics will be awarded for unifying general relativity with quantum theory, with experimental evidence to back it up, and it won't be a string theory.

Created by scav on 2011-01-11; known on 2020-10-31

• scav estimated 50% on 2011-01-11
• gwern estimated 3% and said “reason for such low probability: http://lesswrong.com/lw/3kz/new_years_predictions_thread_2011/3bkw” on 2011-01-11
• gimpf estimated 1% on 2011-01-11
• scav withdrew the prediction on 2011-01-12