PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

The Notenki Memoirs will be available as an official commercial ebook in 2011.

Created by gwern on 2011-01-18; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 20% on 2011-01-18
  • gwern said “don’t see anything, so marking wrong.on 2012-01-01
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-01.
  • gwern said “probably should ask that person what happened to his plans…on 2012-01-01