“By 2050, less than 20% of the United States will attend church on a regular basis (at least 3 times a month)” —Alex M

Created by gwern on 2011-01-19; known on 2050-01-01

• gwern estimated 60% on 2011-01-19
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/596” on 2011-01-19
• kallman estimated 65% and said “I’d like to know the current numbers! I’m assuming it’s assuming christian drop regardless of growth in any other religion?” on 2011-01-21
• themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 69% on 2019-01-07
• Baeboo estimated 40% on 2019-01-08
• Baeboo said “https://news.gallup.com/poll/1690/religion.aspx” on 2019-01-08