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SR: Ross Ulbricht will not be found guilty on charges of narcotics trafficking (or conspiracy).

Created by tedks on 2013-10-03; known on 2015-10-03; judged wrong by kuudes on 2015-06-11.

  • tedks estimated 7% on 2013-10-03
  • gwern estimated 18% on 2013-10-05
  • tedks changed the deadline from “on 2015-10-03” and changed their prediction from “Ross Ulricht will not be found guilty on charges of narcotics trafficking (or conspiracy).” on 2013-10-05
  • tedks changed the deadline from “on 2015-10-03” and changed their prediction from “SR: Ross Ulricht will not be found guilty on charges of narcotics trafficking (or conspiracy).” on 2013-10-05
  • tedks said “Bets of Bitcoin: http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=1752” on 2013-10-11
  • kuudes   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-06-11.
  • kuudes said “http://www.wired.com/2015/02/silk-road-ross-ulbricht-verdict/ “Silk Road Mastermind Ross Ulbricht Convicted of All 7 Charges”” on 2015-06-11