US govt will not default on its debt before Mar 1, 2014
Created by RandomThinker on 2013-10-03; known on 2014-03-01; judged right by scrafty on 2014-03-04.
- RandomThinker estimated 80% on 2013-10-03
- tylercurtis estimated 90% on 2013-10-03
- foo estimated 95% on 2013-10-04
- Peter Hurford estimated 100% on 2013-10-07
- adbge estimated 100% on 2013-10-17
- JoshuaZ estimated 95% on 2013-10-17
- timme estimated 100% on 2014-01-23
- scrafty estimated 99% on 2014-02-02
- ciil estimated 99% on 2014-02-16
- chemotaxis101 estimated 99% on 2014-02-22
- jasticE estimated 98% on 2014-02-23
- Tuxedage estimated 100% on 2014-02-24
- gwern estimated 100% on 2014-02-24
- scrafty judged this prediction right on 2014-03-04.