Google will kill Google Knol by 2020.

Created by gwern on 2011-01-25; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2011-11-23.

• gwern estimated 70% on 2011-01-25
• gwern said “not stop developing. theyve basically done that. but stop hosting, a la geocities & yahoo. knol links break eg. http://knol.google.com/k/catamorphisms” on 2011-01-25
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2011-11-23.
• gwern said “see also http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3835” on 2011-11-23