Chocolate a rare luxury by 2032.

Created by gwern on 2011-01-25; known on 2032-01-01

• gwern estimated 20% on 2011-01-25
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2030-2039.htm#chocolate-rare-in-20-years” on 2011-01-25
• gwern said “Will operationalize this as 3 oz costs >=10 2011 US dollars (that is, adjusted for inflation).” on 2011-01-25
• gwern said “I don’t think I buy this. just doesn’t seem consistent with a wealthy high-tech future. cant deal with soil depletion or drought or labor shortage?” on 2011-01-25
• kallman estimated 5% and said “I doubt even “less popular”. They even do the easter candy year round now…” on 2011-01-25
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 25% on 2019-01-07
• Baeboo estimated 5% on 2019-01-08
• n99 estimated 2% on 2022-10-28