SR: the dk.onion forums will become inaccessible on or before 22 October 2013

Created by gwern on 2013-10-05; known on 2013-10-22; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-10-22.

• gwern estimated 38% on 2013-10-05
• gwern said “Reasoning: Dataclub.biz bills in monthly cycles from the original day that a server was set up, and then gives 7 days for payment.” on 2013-10-05
• gwern said “ DPR was arrested on 2 October, so assuming he paid that day, the longest the SR forums could run would be 2 October + 30 days + 7 days = 9 November” on 2013-10-05
• gwern said “still up right now, so marking wrong” on 2013-10-22
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-10-22.
• oooo said “He could have prepaid.” on 2013-10-23