Natalie Portman will win 2011 Best Actress Oscar —John Scalzi
- gwern estimated 65% on 2011-01-27
- gwern said “http://whatever.scalzi.com/2011/01/26/oscar-predictions-2011/” on 2011-01-27
- kallman estimated 70% and said “Reasoning is soumd. I expect a snub though, black swan was pretty odd :P” on 2011-01-28
- gwern judged this prediction right on 2011-02-28.
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