Toy Story 3 will win 2011 Best Animated Oscar. —John Scalzi

Created by gwern on 2011-01-27; known on 2011-02-27; judged right by gwern on 2011-02-28.

• gwern estimated 70% on 2011-01-27
• gwern said “http://whatever.scalzi.com/2011/01/26/oscar-predictions-2011/” on 2011-01-27
• gwern said “it would be pretty strange if Toy Story 3 lost, wouldn’t it?” on 2011-01-27
• kallman estimated 95% and said “a) good, b) when does pixar lose?” on 2011-01-28
• leejhancox estimated 70% on 2011-02-07
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2011-02-28.