80% of my students will sign up to prediction book and make two or more predictions by the end of March
- Ben Doherty estimated 65% on 2011-02-11
- gwern estimated 30% and said “students are terribly lazy. dont think you could count on 80% unless unmentioned details like it being a small class or it directly impacting their grades” on 2011-02-11
- Ben Doherty said “it does impact on their grades, and the end of march is only one month into semester. I will add a prediction for the end of semester too” on 2011-02-16
- Ben Doherty said “So far students in my class have made 165 predictions” on 2011-04-16
- Ben Doherty judged this prediction right on 2011-04-16.
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