'The seemingly N^2 patent lawsuits among all the major smartphone players will be resolved through a grand cross-licensing bargain, cut in a dark, smoky room, whose terms will only be revealed through some congratulatory emails that leak to the press. Non

Created by gwern on 2011-02-14; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-03-01.

• gwern estimated 30% on 2011-02-14
• gwern said “http://www.freedom-to-tinker.com/blog/tblee/predictions-2011” on 2011-02-14
• gwern said “I get the feeling that the pie is too big for people to want to settle this early, and there’s incentive to fight through more than 2011.” on 2011-02-14
• gwern said “I haven’t heard of any bargain, has anyone else?” on 2012-01-05
• gwern said “no comments, marking wrong” on 2012-03-01
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-03-01.