'However, Android's gains will mostly be at the low end of the market; the iPhone will continue to outsell any single Android smartphone model by a wide margin.' —FtT

Created by gwern on 2011-02-14; known on 2012-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2012-08-28.

• gwern estimated 70% on 2011-02-14
• gwern said “http://www.freedom-to-tinker.com/blog/tblee/predictions-2011” on 2011-02-14
• gwern said “no apparent threats in 2011, though inevitable” on 2011-02-14
• scav estimated 80% and said “Soft target:- a) most of anything is at the low end.b) easier than iPhone vs. all of a single vendor’s Android phones.” on 2011-03-03
• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-07-31
• djmattyg007 estimated 90% on 2012-08-01
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-08-28.