'The market for Internet set-top boxes like Google TV and Apple TV will continue to be chaotic throughout 2011, with no single device taking a decisive market share lead. The big winners will be online services like Netflix, Hulu, and Pandora that work wi

Created by gwern on 2011-02-14; known on 2012-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2012-08-28.

• gwern estimated 75% on 2011-02-14
• gwern said “http://www.freedom-to-tinker.com/blog/tblee/predictions-2011” on 2011-02-14
• gwern said “starting to look like netflix will decisively win, actuazlly” on 2011-02-14
• gwern said “seems pretty accurate to me – Netflix really shot itself in the foot. marking right if no objections” on 2012-08-28
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-08-28.