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I think the Arab Spring will end with most of the arab countries having structured democracies

Created by mxh5251 on 2013-11-12; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-01.

  • mxh5251 estimated 75% on 2013-11-12
  • JoshuaZ said “How does one decide when the Arab Spring has ended? Does one mean just that by 2020 they will have democracies? Also what does it mean for a democracy to be structured? ” on 2013-11-12
  • gwern said “agree with Joshua: too vaguely worded.” on 2013-11-12
  • RandomThinker said “I think it’s just by 2020, and I don’t think it’s going to happen” on 2013-11-19
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.
  • Paul.David.Carr said “Sadly, no.” on 2020-01-01