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Sheep will shut down within a month.

Created by gwern on 2013-11-12; known on 2013-12-13; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-12-04.

  • gwern estimated 30% on 2013-11-12
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2013-12-12” and made the prediction on 2013-11-12
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2013-12-13” and made the prediction on 2013-12-04
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-12-04.