BMR will shut down within a month.

Created by gwern on 2013-11-12; known on 2013-12-13; judged right by gwern on 2013-12-13.

• gwern estimated 5% on 2013-11-12
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2013-12-12” and made the prediction on 2013-11-12
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2013-12-13” and made the prediction on 2013-12-04
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-12-13.
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2013-12-13.